This study represents an initial attempt to assess patterns of displacement related to droughts in selected countries of the Horn of Africa, specifically the border regions of Kenya, Ethiopia and Somalia.
The analysis is based on a mathematical model, IDMC’s innovative Pastoralist Livelihoods and Displacement Simulator, a real-time tool that estimates displacement outcomes based on interactions between climate and human-induced factors. The study explores several scenarios to identify potential impacts of climate change and demographic trends and to test the effectiveness of measures to prevent and respond to droughts. Therefore, the primary intended audience for this paper are those in national and regional governments responsible for reducing and managing disaster risks – drought in particular – and for protecting the rights of internally displaced persons (IDPs).
Authors and Publishers
The Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre (IDMC) is the global leader in the provision of data and analysis on internal displacement. Since our establishment in 1998, we have been committed to offering a rigorous, transparent and independent service to the international community and to informing policy and operational decisions that can improve the lives of the millions of people living in internal displacement, or at risk of becoming displaced in the future.
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